USDA’s April World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report showed an increase in broiler production and exports for the first quarters due to an increased demand. However, exports fell due to recent discoveries of highly pathogenic avian flu outbreaks in Chile.

This month’s 2022/23 U.S. corn outlook is for reductions to imports and food, seed, and industrial (FSI) use, with unchanged ending stocks. Corn imports are lowered 10 million bushels based on observed trade to date. Feed and residual use is unchanged at 5.275 billion based on indicated disappearance during the December-February quarter. FSI is lowered 10 million bushels reflecting cuts to corn used for glucose and dextrose and starch. With supply and use falling by the same amount, ending stocks are unchanged at 1.342 billion bushels. The season-average farm price is unchanged at $6.60 per bushel.

U.S. soybean supply and use forecasts for 2022/23 are unchanged relative to last month. Soybean and soybean meal prices are also unchanged. The soybean oil price is projected at 64 cents per pound, down two cents. Soybean crush is lowered on reduced supplies and slow pace to date for Argentina, China, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Egypt. Crush for Argentina is reduced 3.3 million tons to 32 million leading to lower product exports. Partly offsetting is higher crush and higher soybean oil and meal exports for Brazil.

Broiler production is raised for the first half on recent slaughter and hatchery data. Broiler exports are raised on recent data, and imports are reduced on recent discoveries of highly pathogenic avian flu outbreaks in Chile. Broiler prices are projected higher on the strength of consumer demands.

The full WASDE report can be found here.

Further detailed information can be found in the charts below:

 

FEED GRAINS 2020/21 2021/22 Est. 2022/23 Proj. 2022/23 Proj.
Mar Apr
Million Acres
Area Planted 102.3 105.8 100.4 100.4
Area Harvested  90.6 94.4 87.1 87.1
Metric Tons
Yield per Harvested Acre 4.11 4.21 4.11 4.11
Million Metric Tons
Beginning Stocks 51.8 34 37.6 37.6
Production 372.6 397.5 358.2 358.2
Imports 2.2 2.3 3.2 2.9
    Supply, Total 426.6 433.8 398.9 398.6
Feed and Residual 146.7 148.7 137.7 137.7
Food, Seed & Industrial 168.8 177.1 175.2 175
    Domestic, Total 315.4 325.8 312.9 312.7
Exports 77.2 70.5 49.4 49.4
    Use, Total 392.6 396.2 362.3 362.1
Ending Stocks 34 37.6 36.5 36.5

 

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Year and Quarter U.S. Quarterly Animal Product Production
(Broilers)
U.S. Quarterly Prices for Animal Products
(Broilers)
Million Pounds Cents/lb.
2021 Annual 44899 101.2
2022 I 11170 135.1
II 11279 167.5
III 11896 136.1
IV 11861 123.5
Annual
Mar Est. 46206 140.5
Apr Est. 46206 140.5
2023 I 11500 124.5
II* 11600 137
III* 12000 130
IV* 11800 130
Annual
Mar Proj. 46750 127
Apr Proj. 46900 130.5

 

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Meat Supply and Use
(Broilers in Millions per Pound)
Start
Stocks
Production Imports Total
Supply
Exports Ending
Stocks
Total
Use
2021 830 44419 155 45403 7355 705 37343
2022 Est. Mar 705 45711 176 46593 7278 892 38423
Apr 705 45711 176 46593 7278 892 38423
2023 Proj. Mar 892 46250 160 47302 7315 860 39127
Apr 892 46398 60 47351 7360 880 39111